Six months before Argentina's national legislative elections on October 26th, which will set the course for Javier Milei's second term, polls show a favorable scenario for the ruling party. Separately, hostilities continue on the India-Pakistan border following the murder of 26 tourists. Despite La Libertad Avanza's good projections for the national elections, this is not reflected in the local elections in the City of Buenos Aires on May 18th, where Peronism is projected to win due to electoral fragmentation. "Javier Milei's government remains stable with good approval ratings. Unlike the mandates of Mauricio Macri [2015-2019] and Alberto Fernández [2019-2023], who had already lost much support after the first year, Milei retains a solid base," said Julio Burdman, an Argentine political analyst on Cara o ceca. Among the main factors of satisfaction, Burdman highlighted: "The issue of inflation, security, and confronting the 'caste' are the points that his voters celebrate the most, and the weakest, without a doubt, are pensions and higher education." "The voters who brought Milei to the Presidency still support him," he said, although he warned: "The opposition potentially has many votes; many people say they want to vote against Milei [in the midterm elections on October 26], but what is missing are the names." At the national level, he explained, the main opposition leaders have "a lot of negative image," although he mentioned: "The governor of the province of Buenos Aires, Axel Kicillof is a little better off today than Cristina Fernández de Kirchner." Burdman maintained that the former president and leader of Peronism "has a negative image in many provinces." And he warned: "If she wants to return to the spotlight, she must tour the country so that they remember her, because not everyone consumes political media and anti-Kirchnerism remains strong," he concluded. Hostilities continue between India and Pakistan. India affirmed that crossfire continues on the border between both countries for the fourth consecutive night, while deepening the search for militants in the area, responsible for last week's attack against tourists in the Indian region of Kashmir, which left 26 dead. "When in 1947 both countries separated after being part of British India, Kashmir remained as a disputed region. Both control a part, but for India it is a sensitive place because it was the only state with an Islamic majority," explained Lía Rodríguez de la Vega, director of the Bachelor's Degree in International Studies at the National University of Chaco Austral and Deputy Director of the Committee on Asian Affairs at the Argentine Council for International Relations (CARI) to Cara o ceca. She recalled that in 2019 the Indian Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, revoked special measures in the region, which "further radicalized the population of Kashmir who intend to become independent from both countries." "India considers that the Resistance Front, which claimed the attack, is a spin-off of a terrorist group linked to Pakistan. This seriously affects international treaties," warned Rodríguez de la Vega, and added: "The isolated shots of recent days fuel the conflict, even more so with a Hindu nationalist government in India." In addition to the armed clashes, other bilateral agreements are beginning to creak: "There are treaties on water management between India, Pakistan and Bangladesh, but now India considers one of those agreements invalid amid the escalation of tension," she concluded.
Original title:
Según las encuestas, Milei llega fortalecido a las elecciones intermedias de su mandato
Original description:
A seis meses de las elecciones legislativas nacionales en Argentina, del 26 de octubre, que marcará…