🇧🇷 Brazil Episodes

A Quaest pesquisa, publicada quarta-feira (16), tem boas e más notícias para o governo Lula. A má: a desaprovação segue alta, em 53%. A boa: a diferença entre desaprovam e aprovam caiu 7 pontos percentuais desde junho. A pesquisa mostra onde e por que a tendência virou. Neste episódio, Julia Duailibi recebe Felipe Nunes, diretor da Quaest, e Valdo Cruz, colunista do g1 e comentarista da GloboNews. Felipe explica quais segmentos fomentaram a mudança de cenário para Lula: o presidente se recuperou em setores fora de sua base de apoio. E detalha como a população recebeu o tarifaço de Donald Trump e a reação do governo brasileiro. Depois, Julia conversa com Valdo Cruz, que relata a percepção do governo sobre o desafio de manter a recuperação após o “inferno astral” dos últimos meses. Valdo responde o que mudou na relação entre Executivo e Legislativo, e o desafio da oposição. “O culpado [pelo tarifaço] é Trump, e também Eduardo Bolsonaro”, diz. Valdo conclui: “há um mês a oposição e o centrão davam o governo como acabado. E agora eles perceberam que há espaço para Lula se recuperar para o ano que vem”.

Representatives of sectors affected by Donald Trump's tariff increase met this Tuesday (15) in Brasília with the inter-ministerial committee that will elaborate the Brazilian response to the US president's blackmail. Government and agribusiness and industry entrepreneurs agreed that the Reciprocity Law should be the last resort to be used. In this episode, Julia Duailibi listens to representatives from three sectors to understand the impacts and strategies of Brazilian exporters. First, Julia talks to Márcio Ferreira, president of the Council of Coffee Exporters of Brazil, CeCafé. The main consumer market for the grain, the USA buys 17% of Brazilian production – about 1/3 of all coffee consumed on American soil comes from Brazil. Márcio reports on the meeting with government representatives, and says what Brazilian producers plan to maintain this "win-win" relationship with the USA. Then, Julia speaks with Ibiapaba Netto, executive director of the National Association of Citrus Juice Exporters. Brazil is a world leader in orange juice exports – and Ibiapaba explains its entire production chain: from planting oranges in Brazil to the juice reaching the American consumer's table. He also comments on the impacts on employment and industry in São Paulo, the largest orange producing region in the world. Also participating is Raul Jungmann, CEO of the Brazilian Mining Institute (Ibram), an organization that brings together more than 200 mineral producers. Jungmann assesses the impact on national production, and answers which markets Brazil can target if the 50% tariffs come into effect.

In the very first lines of the letter sent to Lula last week, the US president cited the Supreme Federal Court. Trump referenced trials involving former president Jair Bolsonaro and criticized court decisions against US-based technology companies. The first response to Trump was given by the Executive. And on Sunday night, another came to public: the president of the STF, Minister Luís Roberto Barroso, wrote a note entitled "In defense of the Constitution, Democracy and Justice". The text states that different worldviews "do not give anyone the right to twist the truth or deny the concrete facts that everyone saw and lived". And it makes a historical resumption about moments in which there was an attempt at institutional rupture in Brazil. To explain the meanings of the content of the letter and how Trump's blackmail reverberated in the Brazilian Supreme Court, Julia Duailibi talks to journalist Felipe Recondo and lawyer Rafael Mafei. Writer and researcher of the history of the STF, Recondo explains how Barroso's letter was articulated and what its effects are on ongoing processes in the Court. Professor at the Faculty of Law of USP and ESPM, Mafei analyzes the strategy used by the president of the STF, to whom the note is addressed. He also recalls other moments in history in which the Supreme acted in defense of national sovereignty.

It was months of intense participation in the presidential campaign and another 128 days inside the White House. And then came the divorce with Donald Trump, with a public spat. In the middle of the fight, the US president threatened to cut public incentives for SpaceX, Elon Musk's space exploration company, which depends on government contracts. Amid the political turmoil, Musk saw Tesla's stock value plummet. Since the Republican took office, the electric car company's shares have devalued by about 30%, a loss of around US$ 379 billion for the businessman. It is in this context that Elon Musk now says he wants to create a party to call his own. The billionaire announced on his social network, X, that he will create the "Party of America", in an attempt to break with the dominant two-party system in the USA. To explain the viability of a new political party and what Musk intends with it, Julia Duailibi talks to Cesar Zucco, full professor of Politics and Public Policies at FGV-RJ. He explains how the US political and party system contributes to the dominance of Republicans and Democrats. And assesses the difficulties for a third party to have representation in Congress. Afterwards, Julia receives Daniela Braun, technology reporter for the newspaper Valor Econômico, who comments on the performance of the billionaire's companies in the face of the political crises starring him.

President Lula stated this Thursday (10th) that he wants to negotiate with Donald Trump, but asked for respect for Brazilian decisions. Lula said that, if there is no agreement with the American government, Brazil will respond with tariffs equal to those announced by Trump against all Brazilian products. A day earlier, the American president announced that he will impose tariffs of 50% on Brazil starting August 1st. In addition to the reaction of the Brazilian government, Thursday was marked by criticism of Trump. The international press highlighted the use of tariffs to blackmail Brazil. Economist Paul Krugman, winner of the 2008 Nobel Prize in Economics, described the decision as "malicious and megalomaniacal". For some businessmen, the 50% tariffs could make Brazil's business with the USA unviable. In this episode, Julia Duailibi receives diplomat Roberto Abdenur, who worked for 45 years in the Brazilian diplomatic service and was ambassador to Washington, Beijing and Berlin. Advisor to the Brazilian Center for International Relations (Cebri), Abdenur classifies the moment as "the most serious in the relationship" between the USA and Brazil. He assesses the possibilities of economic and diplomatic responses that the Brazilian government can give to Trump. Afterwards, the conversation is with political scientist Guilherme Casarões. Professor at FGV-SP and researcher at the Extreme Right Observatory, Casarões analyzes the response given by the Lula government so far. And he explains how the interference of the US president in a judicial process involving Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil is part of the global strategy of the extreme right.

Last Wednesday (9th) inaugurated a phase of uncertainties in the relations between the United States and Brazil. It began with an official position from American diplomacy: the country's Embassy released a note reinforcing President Donald Trump's position in defense of Jair Bolsonaro, alleging that the former president would be a victim of "political persecution". Itamaraty reacted immediately and summoned the American chargé d'affaires to provide clarification - the US has not had an ambassador in Brazil since Trump took office in January. Tension increased when the American president said that "Brazil has not been good" to the US and threatened to impose new tariffs. And the crisis was established once and for all when the United States government sent President Lula a letter announcing the taxation of all Brazilian products at 50% from August 1st. And the main reason is not commercial, but political: criticism of the action of the Supreme Federal Court and new defense of Bolsonaro. In this episode, Julia Duailibi talks with economist Daniel Sousa, commentator on GloboNews, professor at Ibmec and creator of the Petit Journal podcast, about the immediate consequences for the Brazilian economy and which sectors will be most harmed if the tariffs are actually applied. Also participating in this episode is Carlos Gustavo Poggio, professor of political science at Berea College, in Kentucky (USA). He explains Trump's interests behind the tariff increase and the degree of seriousness of involving ideological alignment with commercial policy and diplomatic equipment.

"The dollar is king," declared Donald Trump this Tuesday (8). He added: "we will keep it that way," saying that the loss of the US currency's hegemony would be equivalent to "defeat in a war." Trump's statements are a reaction to the BRICS, who, after the meeting hosted in Rio de Janeiro, published a document defending the use of local currencies in commercial transactions. It was immediately after the BRICS joint declaration that the US president threatened to tax countries that aligned with the group's policy – which he calls "anti-American." The use of local currencies is an old demand of the group, which puts at risk the economic and influence supremacy of the US in the global trade system. In this episode, Julia Duailibi receives the economist Octaviano Canuto, who was vice-president of the World Bank and executive director of the IMF, to explain the current moment of the dollar and what a de-dollarization of the economy would mean. Canuto, who is also a senior member of the Policy Center for the New South and professor at George Washington University, recalls when the dollar became the hegemonic means of negotiation between countries. He analyzes what the political and economic consequences would be if the American currency lost its global prominence.

Over R$ 500 million. This was the amount diverted from the BMP bank's so-called reserve accounts in just a harsh hour and a half during the early hours of last Wednesday (2). Hackers invaded the system of companies responsible for mediating transfers between banks and carried out the largest attack of its kind on the National Financial System (SFN). To explain how this mega attack was carried out, Natuza Nery talks to Darlan Helder, technology reporter for g1, and Ronaldo Lemos, chief scientist at the Institute of Technology and Society (ITS) of Rio de Janeiro. Darlan details how the offensive was carried out and the suspicions that fall on an IT technician from the technology company B&M. Arrested, he confessed to passing on to hackers his password to enter the confidential system that connects banks to PIX. In return, he says he received R$ 15,000. It was with his password that the criminals managed to divert millions of reais – TV Globo sources estimate that the amount could reach R$ 800 million. Afterwards, Ronaldo Lemos explains why, by targeting the “heart of the financial system”, the attack became so emblematic. Ronaldo assesses the loopholes in banks' security systems and points out what can be done to correct flaws. For him, it is necessary to create an "alarm" to alert when suspicious transactions are underway.

A recent Harvard magazine survey shows a surge in seeking therapeutic advice or even simulating therapy sessions in chatbots. This type of interaction ranks first in how people are using AI, according to the magazine's study. To understand how the use of artificial intelligence for therapeutic purposes is advancing in a field that seemed out of its reach, Natuza Nery talks to Paulo Beer, PhD in social psychology, visiting professor at USP and the Gerar Institute of Psychoanalysis. Paulo explains how “a perfect storm” stimulates the use of artificial intelligence by people with mental health issues. He believes that traditional therapies, done with human professionals, are the only ones capable of making the patient truly reflect on their pain and anguish. Then, the conversation is with Ilana Pinsky, author of the book "Emotional Health: how not to freak out in unstable times" and columnist for Veja magazine. Ilana, who was a professor at Unifesp and Columbia University (USA), talks about the results of a study done with approximately 200 people who were exposed to chatbots trained for therapeutic use.

Faced with an unfeasible 2023 budget, the newly elected Lula government negotiated a PEC with Congress that released around R$ 145 billion in spending; in return, the Executive branch should present a new fiscal rule to control public accounts. It came: the so-called fiscal framework was approved in the Legislature and even celebrated by part of the financial market. A little over two years later, it shows signs that it is not holding up. A multifactorial problem. The Executive insists on trying to seek fiscal balance only on the revenue side, by increasing the tax burden, without indicating how it will contain the growing increase in expenses. And ignores the structural problems of public accounts. Congress misses the opportunity to advance with an agenda capable of balancing the fiscal crisis and maintains a turbocharged budget under its control: R$ 50 billion this year alone, 25% of all the government's discretionary spending – a percentage that is far from the world average. The same is seen in the Judiciary, which costs 1.43% of Brazilian GDP, well above the average of emerging economies (0.5%) and advanced economies (0.3%). In this episode, Natuza Nery talks to Bruno Carazza to explain what can be done for Brazil to untie its fiscal knot. Commentator for Jornal da Globo and columnist for the Valor Econômico newspaper, Bruno dimensions the size of the Brazilian "bomb". He, who is also a professor at Fundação Dom Cabral, outlines alternatives to solve the problem and concludes how decisions taken by the three Powers increase public spending.

After almost two months of trial in a New York court, rapper and businessman Sean “Diddy” Combs heard the verdict. Among the charges were sex trafficking by force, transportation for prostitution, and conspiracy. He was found guilty of two crimes and acquitted of three others. After the verdict, P. Diddy's bail request was denied, and he will remain in custody awaiting sentencing. The sentence is expected in the coming months, and the penalty could be up to 20 years in prison. Imprisoned since September 2024, Diddy celebrated the verdict, as reported by correspondent Carolina Cimenti in conversation with Natuza Nery. The TV Globo reporter recounts the weeks of trial in one of the biggest sex scandals in the music industry. And explains what may happen from now on. Afterward, Natuza receives Kaique Mattos, journalist from g1 and hip hop content producer. Kaique recalls who P. Diddy is and his emergence in the music industry, with the creation of a large business empire. The journalist recounts how the first accusations against the rapper came to light and the behind-the-scenes of the parties organized by Diddy, precisely where many of the crimes were committed. Kaique also talks about how the case "turned a key" in the hip hop community.

After being defeated in Congress, the government decided to appeal to the Supreme Federal Court to restore the IOF increase. By filing an appeal with the STF, the government raises the political temperature with Congress and doubles down, assesses Thomas Traumann in conversation with Natuza Nery in this episode. A GloboNews commentator, the journalist assesses the government's political situation and the risks Lula runs by adopting the old "us versus them" tactic, by pitting rich against poor, as he did in his previous administrations. He also concludes what the country loses with the clash between the powers. Afterwards, Natuza talks with Mary Elbe Queiroz, a lawyer specializing in Tax Law. President of the National Center for Prevention and Resolution of Tax Conflicts (Cenapret) and founder of Queiroz Advogados, she explains the impacts of judicialization on the credibility of the Brazilian tax system.

Until December last year, almost 950,000 people had some CAC registration, as hunters, shooters, and gun collectors are known in the country. These people have more than 1 million weapons – an amount 560% greater than 10 years ago, according to Army data provided to the Sou da Paz Institute. The increase in the number of weapons, however, was not accompanied by growth in inspection. From this Tuesday (1st), the Federal Police will be responsible for inspecting the CACs' arsenal. Previously, it was under the tutelage of the Brazilian Army. To understand what changes from this Tuesday, Natuza Nery talks to Andrei Rodrigues, general director of the Federal Police. And to explain the consequences of the exponential increase in the number of CACs in the country, Natuza listens to David Marques, project coordinator at the Brazilian Public Security Forum.

A decades-long conflict has killed over 5 million people in the heart of Africa. In eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, armed militias clash in the deadliest war since World War II. The trigger for ethnic conflicts escalating into a brutal war was the 1994 Rwandan genocide. The Rwandan government is accused of supporting the M23 rebel group to invade and control territories in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The DRC is accused of protecting Hutu militias, heirs of the genocide's executioners. Beyond ethnic battles, there is also a dispute over mineral wealth. In the conflict zones are some of the world's most valuable materials: gold, copper, cobalt, and coltan, important for producing computers and smartphones – ores and metals whose buyers are the world's largest technology companies. In this episode, Natuza Nery receives journalist Pedro Borges, from the Alma Preta news agency. He, who has been in the DRC for 40 days witnessing the situation in the war-torn region firsthand, recounts what he saw in his travels through the country and what one of the refugee camps he visited is like. Pedro also details what he foresees in the new agreement signed between the DRC and Rwanda last Friday (27th) in Washington, under the mediation of the American government.

Congress inflicted a crushing defeat on the Lula government on Wednesday night (25th), overturning the IOF decree. It was the first time since 1992 that parliamentarians had overturned a presidential decree. Government ministers are divided on whether or not to take the case to the STF – the opposition says that if it appeals to the Supreme Court, the government will amplify the crisis in Brasília. With the fall of the decree, Congress stopped the government's idea of raising R$ 10 billion more and, with that, getting closer to reaching the fiscal target. The impact of the political battle, therefore, has serious fiscal consequences. Economists warn that the Brazilian State runs the risk of becoming paralyzed in 2026 if public accounts are not balanced. To explain the seriousness of the situation in Brasília, Natuza Nery receives Flávia Oliveira. “It was more than a steamroller. It was a road roller,” summarizes the GloboNews commentator, columnist for the newspaper O Globo and CBN radio. For her, more than a defeat for the government, what is happening in Brasília is “a defeat for the country. It is a Congress that has acted and voted for its own benefit”. Afterwards, Natuza Nery speaks with political scientist and sociologist Sérgio Abranches. Creator of the term “coalition presidentialism”, in the late 1980s, Sérgio assesses the current political moment. “The system of government is dysfunctional. It is a Congress that does not represent. And an Executive that can no longer govern,” he says.

Almost 5 days after falling about 200 meters inside the crater of a volcano in Indonesia, the body of the 26-year-old Brazilian woman was rescued this Wednesday (26). Her body was found by volunteer rescuers, 600 meters from the trail she was taking towards the top of Mount Rinjani. Juliana Marins' family says that, before the accident, she was left alone by the group's guide – the alert to the authorities was sent only 5 hours later. Juliana's family accuses the Indonesian authorities of negligence. To explain the particularities of the mountain and point out possible errors that may have led to the Brazilian woman's death, Natuza Nery listens to Carlos Santalena, climber and expedition guide. Carlos, who has climbed Mount Everest four times and climbed Rinjani in 2015, reports on what it is like to climb the mountain Juliana was on and talks about the signs that there was negligence in the rescue. Afterwards, Natuza listens to Silvio Neto, president of the Brazilian Association of Mountain Guides. He talks about how guides should be trained for adventure tourism, the type of information people need to have to practice climbing activities safely.

This Tuesday (24), Mauro Cid and Braga Netto sat face to face in a room at the Supreme Federal Court. Defendants in the coup d'état attempt case, the former aide-de-camp and the former Minister of Defense and Chief of Staff of Jair Bolsonaro gave their versions of the same accusation: a conspiratorial meeting at Braga Netto's house and an amount that would have financed the coup-plotting criminal organization. When confronted, both maintained their previous statements. After them, it was former minister Anderson Torres' turn to sit face to face with former Army commander Freire Gomes, a witness in the case. In this episode, Natuza Nery receives Fernando Abrucio to explain how the confrontation affects the process. Professor at FGV, commentator at GloboNews and columnist for the Valor Econômico newspaper, Abrucio recalls the role of Mauro Cid, Braga Netto and Anderson Torres in the coup plot and analyzes the versions presented by the defendants. He also assesses how the defendants' and the former president's entourage are moving to prevent or reverse a likely conviction in the Supreme Court.

In 2022, Russia attacked and invaded Ukraine under the pretext of defending itself against possible Ukrainian threats. The following year, the terrorist group Hamas' attack left a trail of death and violence in Israel; the Israeli response in the Gaza Strip promoted a humanitarian crisis that accounts for at least 55,000 deaths. Less than two weeks ago, the Iranian nuclear program served as a pretext for air strikes by Israel and then the United States. Faced with a world map taken by burning points, something in common: the primacy of the use of weapons over dialogue. Bellicism is also present in the organization of world trade, where the effects of the tariff announced by Donald Trump are still uncertain. In an interview with GloboNews, Celso Amorim, former chancellor and special advisor to the Presidency for international affairs, spoke of "demoralization of the international system" and an "attack on the world order". For historian and career diplomat Rubens Ricupero, who was Brazil's ambassador to Washington, Rome and the United Nations, it is "a moment of weakening of diplomatic resources". In this episode, Rubens Ricupero, who was also under-secretary general of the UN (1995 to 2004) and is now an emeritus advisor to the Brazilian Center for International Relations, is interviewed by Natuza Nery. He analyzes the crisis in world diplomacy and explains why the classic instruments in relations between countries are losing ground at a moment in history marked by unilateral decisions and wars. "I do not see the case of Iran as capable of provoking a nuclear and world war," he says.

It was early Sunday morning in Iran when the US launched an offensive against three Iranian nuclear facilities. After days of suspense over whether or not to enter the conflict between Israel and the Tehran regime, Donald Trump announced that the Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan facilities had been targeted by American airstrikes. In response, the Iranian parliament approved closing the Strait of Hormuz, responsible for 20% of the world's oil route. In the first part of this episode of O Assunto, Natuza Nery talks to Oliver Stuenkel to analyze the immediate consequences of the US entering the war. Oliver, who is a professor of International Relations at FGV and a researcher at Harvard and the Carnegie Endowment, answers what risks Trump subjected himself to by attacking Iran, and Tehran's possible responses. He also assesses the likely economic effects if the closure of the Strait of Hormuz materializes. Afterwards, Natuza receives Samy Adghirni, a Bloomberg journalist based in Paris who was a correspondent in Iran from 2011 to 2014. Author of the book "The Iranians," Samy traces the richness of Persian history and the reasons why Iranians are so proud of their culture: "Iran is more than a country, it is a civilization." He also presents an overview of the country's current contradictions: a modern society that coexists with a theocratic, oppressive, and violent regime – especially towards women. "The current situation in the Middle East shows the increasing weakness of this regime," he concludes.

Instability is permanent and spreads across territories. In Gaza, a war exceeding 600 days causes an unprecedented humanitarian crisis. In Lebanon, the population lives under attacks from Hezbollah and the Israeli army. In Syria, the end of a long dictatorship led to a fragmented country. In Yemen, Houthi rebels are also involved in conflicts. Now, since the beginning of the exchange of bombings between Israel and Iran, tension has escalated to the imminence of a total war between the region's two most powerful military countries -- a risk that grows with signals from Donald Trump that the US may enter the conflict. In this episode, Natuza Nery talks to Guga Chacra to explain the origins of these instabilities. The commentator from Globo, GloboNews, CBN, and columnist for O Globo recounts the history of failed peace negotiations of recent decades, analyzes current points of greatest tension, and tries to answer the question: what to do to pacify the Middle East?