This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Nate Silver gives a presentation on how gamblers think 19:25 Bestie Q&A with Nate Silver: building probabilistic models, getting blamed for Trump winning in 2016, polarization reality, 2022 midterms Follow Nate: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Adena Hefets breaks down the state of the US housing market in 2022 16:56 Bestie Q&A with Adena: differences between 2008 and 2022, housing market reaction time, chances of a collapse, and more 30:08 Adena does a Bestie Intro for herself! Follow Adena: https://twitter.com/adenahefets Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami! 0:00 David Sacks explains the origin of this panel on political discourse in America 2:56 Understanding the new political divide, how Trump's victory impacted discourse 12:37 Can mainstream media ever get back to relative neutrality? 29:15 Audience Q&A Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/ggreenwald https://twitter.com/mtaibbi Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner joins the show 1:00 All-In Summit recap and best moments 16:45 State of the markets, $ZM/$SNOW earnings, how much more uncertainty? 29:53 $SNAP drops after miscalculating earnings targets, understanding signs of a true bottom, the end of entitlement 51:10 Down market end game, investor decisions, reasons for optimism, quick reset potential 1:05:17 Sacks explains his concept for "default investable," Besties share thoughts on proactive layoffs and course correction 1:12:27 Addressing Uvalde, legislative disappointment, potential preventative solutions Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/altcap Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX https://investors.zoom.us/news-releases/news-release-details/zoom-video-communications-reports-financial-results-first https://investors.snowflake.com/news/news-details/2022/Snowflake-Reports-Financial-Results-for-the-First-Quarter-of-Fiscal-2023/default.aspx https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1529100065331200005 https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1529133144540078083 https://layoffs.fyi https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/24/snaps-down-32percent-and-its-dragging-other-stocks-down-with-it.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ https://nypost.com/2022/05/13/netflix-tells-woke-workers-to-quit-if-they-are-offended-culture-memo https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1525309091970699265 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1529119829080150016 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1528102541723979776 https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burn-multiple-51a7e43cb200 https://elections.bradyunited.org/take-action/nra-donations-116th-congress-senators https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_shootings_in_the_United_States#/media/File:Total_Deaths_in_US_Mass_Shootings_1982-2021.jpg https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1529843255176663040 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/01/business/coronavirus-gun-sales.html https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1529504198974263296

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist   0:00 Tim Urban gives a talk on political discourse in America and explains high-rung vs. low-rung thinking 26:20 The Besties and Keith Rabois join Tim Urban on stage for a roundtable discussion on cancel culture 51:23 Keith Rabois talks about taking a pause on new investments in 2022 and gives his take on other major VC players Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/waitbutwhy https://twitter.com/rabois Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This debate was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 David Sacks tees up the show: Debating the US intervention in Ukraine This debate was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami! 1:49 Opening statements from Glenn & Antonio 15:29 Debating US involvement, regime change motives, & more 32:01 Final word & wrap Follow the guests:   https://twitter.com/ggreenwald   https://twitter.com/antoniogm   Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Claire Cormier Thielke's AIS talk: "Tomorrowland: China Placemaking and the Future of Innovation" 17:40 Claire takes Q&A with the Besties + Ryan Petersen: Understanding the China/US rivalry 24:08 How the Evergrande debt situation impacts the greater Chinese real estate industry, China's still-nascent middle class, How China is subsidizing its negative birth rate 34:30 Ryan Petersen breaks down Flexport's business, the tumultuous past few years, and how DTC might be in major trouble 46:34 Asset-heavy play as a hedge against the popular trend of asset-light, velocity vs. speed, Flexport.org's humanitarian relief shipping, China's influence Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/clairethielke https://twitter.com/typesfast Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner break down the state and historical significance of 2022's market downturn 12:27 How VCs will handle capital commitments from LPs, underwriting startups in the new reality 24:14 Bull run mistakes, why VCs don't underwrite lower valuations, handling distributions 33:52 Gurley's take on WeCrashed & Super Pumped TV series, how sophisticated investors got "gaslit" by the market, influx of capital creating consumer-surplus businesses 47:54 Brad predicts the market for next year, Bill gives post-Benchmark plans Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

0:00 Bestie Guestie Elon Musk joins via Zoom at the All-In Summit! 0:43 Benchmarking Twitter's bot problem, thoughts on slights from the Biden Administration 13:26 Breaking down Tesla's 6+ businesses, comparing them to a traditional car company 21:42 Concerns around the Twitter deal, crypto payments on Twitter 30:19 Building vs. acquiring, early Tesla stories 39:52 SpaceX's grand vision and business model, nuclear fusion vs. solar 56:37 Moving from CA to TX, fixing California, macroeconomic takes 1:10:20 American exceptionalism, a new immigration strategy Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/elonmusk Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffec

0:00 Bestie catchup and Friedberg intros! 4:40 Breaking down current macro risks, Great Recession comparisons 31:55 How a historically large amount of dry powder is impacting VC firms as the market shifts, problems with mega funds 41:31 Tiger Global's historic loss and where they might have gone wrong; Sacks' gives his playbook for raising capital in a downturn 58:35 How startup employees can protect themselves in a down market, questions to ask and metrics to know while evaluating startups to work at 1:13:21 Psychological impact of investing after taking huge losses 1:29:00 Predictions on how the market shakes out Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/cullenroche/status/1524441227931774976 https://www.axios.com/2022/04/08/consumer-debt-soars-credit-cards https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/default.htm https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-12/musk-seeks-to-scrap-tesla-margin-loan-with-new-twitter-funding https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1523780820112007168 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf https://twitter.com/TheBenSchmark/status/1522669777478684672 https://twitter.com/AndrewE_Dunn/status/1523653942252826624 https://twitter.com/mattturck/status/1524773379416408064 https://twitter.com/jonsakoda/status/1522625236130144256 https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund/ https://twitter.com/ZoeSchiffer/status/1523017143939309568 https://twitter.com/BurryArchive/status/1524504399070081025 https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/05/04/dow-rallies-fed-ups-rates/9649150002/ https://twitter.com/Airbnb/status/1524379284260892674

0:00 Amy Howe (@AHoweBlogger) & Tom Goldstein (@SCOTUSblog) join the show to break down the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade 28:07 Potential downstream impacts from the precedent of overturning Roe v. Wade 43:03 How will the leaked draft impact the Supreme Court going forward? Should there be age limits for SC justices? 1:05:09 Analyzing the path forward Follow Amy and Tom: https://twitter.com/AHoweBlogger https://twitter.com/SCOTUSblog Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21835435-scotus-initial-draft https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep410/usrep410113/usrep410113.pdf https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/505/833/case.pdf https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/05/04/abortion-supreme-court-confirmation-hearings https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump_Supreme_Court_candidates https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/19pdf/17-1618_hfci.pdf https://www.wsj.com/articles/abortion-and-the-supreme-court-dobbs-v-jackson-mississippi-john-roberts-11651009292 https://beyer.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=5330 https://www.law.nyu.edu/sites/default/files/ECM_PRO_059254.pdf https://news.gallup.com/poll/350486/record-high-support-same-sex-marriage.aspx https://news.gallup.com/poll/1576/abortion.aspx  

0:00 Bestie intros 4:32 Understanding VC fund metrics that matter, state of private markets 29:37 Recession possibilities, Q1 negative growth 44:56 Student loan forgiveness, fixing the underlying system, solutions 1:09:52 Archegos founder Bill Hwang arrested and charged with fraud and racketeering 1:19:08 New Disinformation Governance Board 1:30:23 Predictions for Elon's Twitter vision, policing speech on social media using existing case law Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter https://twitter.com/jasongoepfert/status/1520040516955643905 https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-economy-gdp-growth-q1-11651108351 https://twitter.com/lizannsonders/status/1520021943621140483 https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1489128016508719104 https://educationdata.org/wp-content/uploads/78/historical-cost-of-tuition-and-fees-room-and-board.webp https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/04/should-biden-forgive-student-loan-debt/629700/ https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2022-70 https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-immigration-media-europe-misinformation-4e873389889bb1d9e2ad8659d9975e9d https://www.dhs.gov/ntas/advisory/national-terrorism-advisory-system-bulletin-february-07-2022 https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/01/us/politics/russia-2016-election-facebook.html https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1519073003933515776

0:00 Bestie Intros + a new Bestie Guestie! 4:37 Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong reflects on his "mission-focused company" blog post, work culture in tech/Silicon Valley, realigning culture at Coinbase 26:25 Crypto regulation and adoption 46:37 Brian's takes on different types of stablecoins 51:14 Netflix's major headwinds Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://blog.coinbase.com/coinbase-is-a-mission-focused-company-af882df8804 https://www.theverge.com/2021/5/12/22433437/apple-hire-antonio-garcia-martinez-out-petition-investigation https://www.theverge.com/2021/5/20/22446059/apple-employees-palestinians-support-internal-letter-tim-cook https://www.theverge.com/2021/6/4/22491629/apple-employees-push-back-return-office-internal-letter-tim-cook https://www.wsj.com/articles/revolt-in-disneys-florida-kingdom-ron-desantis-bob-chapek-11650578648 https://variety.com/2021/film/news/dave-chappelle-netflix-ted-sarandos-i-screwed-up-1235093098/ https://sacks.substack.com/p/your-startup-is-a-movement?s=r https://twitter.com/brian_armstrong/status/1435439291715358721 https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/03/09/fact-sheet-president-biden-to-sign-executive-order-on-ensuring-responsible-innovation-in-digital-assets/ https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/howey-test.asp https://www.wsj.com/articles/crypto-thieves-get-bolder-by-the-heist-stealing-record-amounts-11650582598 https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/06/axie-infinity-creator-raises-150m-round-to-compensate-victims-of-625m-ronin-hack/ https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1402030233319088139 https://nypost.com/2022/04/21/ex-mcdonalds-ceo-rensi-companies-have-no-business-in-politics/ https://www.pbs.org/newshour/arts/netflix-loses-200000-subscribers-projects-even-deeper-losses-this-spring https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NFLX:NASDAQ https://ycharts.com/companies/NFLX/market_cap https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-20/ackman-loses-more-than-430-million-on-three-month-netflix-bet https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1516600269899026432 https://summit.allinpodcast.co/

*** PRODUCER'S NOTE: This is part two of E76. If you want to hear the besties break down Elon vs. Twitter, check out the previous episode.     0:00 Surprise part two! 1:03 Friedberg breaks down the global food crisis and predicts China's grand plan 9:27 Inflation: 8.5% CPI in March, potential causes, what the rest of 2022 might look like 18:22 Understanding French election results so far 23:08 All-In Summit update and preview Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://thediplomat.com/2022/02/what-does-chinas-horn-of-africa-envoy-mean-for-its-non-intervention-principle/ https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3169076/china-unites-somalia-against-growing-taiwanese-somaliland-ties https://allafrica.com/stories/202203190144.html https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3170851/ukraine-invasion-china-braces-effects-global-fertiliser https://www.economist.com/china/2022/04/09/when-china-worries-about-food-the-world-pays https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3173619/china-didnt-hoard-grains-stockpiling-ensure-domestic-food https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-inflation-consumer-price-index-march-2022-11649725215 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1485696010290491393 https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/13/world/europe/le-pen-nato-russia-germany.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/visa-mastercard-fees-will-hurt-consumers-sen-dick-durbin-says-11650046879 https://summit.allinpodcast.co/

0:00 Jason's new skincare routine, Sacks' Good Friday portfolio update, Bestie intros 3:12 Breaking down Elon's offer to buy Twitter and take it private: poison pills, board responsibility and more 30:50 Core issues of Elon vs. Twitter, analyzing reactions, breaking down Twitter's revenue per employee 43:10 Free speech and Twitter, predictions for how this saga ends, business film recommendations Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1514564966564651008 https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/twitter-adopts-limited-duration-shareholder-rights-plan-enabling-all-shareholders-to-realize-full-value-of-company-301526627.html https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revlon,_Inc._v._MacAndrews_%26_Forbes_Holdings,_Inc. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001418091/000110465922045641/tm2212748d1_sc13da.htm https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TWTR:NYSE https://twitter.com/DefiantLs/status/1514738236207337477 https://twitter.com/jeffjarvis/status/1514578609754812419 https://twitter.com/maxboot/status/1514570168730636290 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/DefiantLs/status/1514738236207337477 https://twitter.com/auronmacintyre/status/1514653963408318474 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ATVI:NASDAQ

0:00 Jason's big night out, bestie intros, All-In Summit update and more 8:01 Layoffs and shutdowns: Fast, Better.com, GoPuff; Chamath gives a macro- and micro- overview for startups 14:09 Preventing layoffs, culpability in Fast's shutdown, VC diligence strategy, VC/founder model 41:51 Elon buys a 9% stake in Twitter and joins the board: what does this mean for Twitter, free speech online, evolution of deplatforming 1:03:24 Food shortage update, ideal US objectives going forward Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/live-fast-die-young-behind-the-fall-of-a-one-click-wonder https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/08/better-com-cto-steps-down-agrees-to-voluntary-separation-in-wake-of-mass-layoffs https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/06/better-com-offering-employees-60-days-severance-losing-tens-of-millions-per-month-per-sources https://www.theinformation.com/articles/gopuff-plans-hundreds-of-layoffs-to-cut-40-million-in-costs https://articles.sequoiacap.com/rip-good-times https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-saas-board-meeting https://medium.com/craft-ventures/blitzfail-how-not-to-go-off-the-rails-24ccaf92c410 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-04/musk-takes-9-2-stake-in-twitter-after-questioning-platform https://twitter.com/paraga/status/1511320953598357505 https://twitter.com/jack/status/1511329369473564677 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1507259709224632344 https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1511360061670662149 https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1511674851202945024 https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/06/tech/pinterest-climate-change-misinformation-policy/index.html https://gro-intelligence.com/insights/gro-predicts-us-corn-stocks-will-drop-sharply-in-2022-23 https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/the-state-department-failed-to-prevent-the-war-will-it-now-prevent-the-peace

0:00 Sacks' DC trip and foreign policy speaking gig 5:50 Yield curve inversion, breaking down the current state of the markets, understanding the labor market through birth rate and immigration 26:16 How the US can fix its current economic issues, reframing high-skilled immigration 48:54 SEC's new proposed rules around SPACs and climate disclosures for public companies: how will both markets be impacted? 1:10:29 Meta used a GOP firm to run a smear campaign against TikTok in the US: dirty, necessary, or both? 1:19:03 Food shortage update 1:24:33 Sacks and Jason reflect on Biden's inflammatory comments on Putin Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-doctrine/471525 https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/part-us-yield-curve-just-inverted-does-that-mean-recession-is-coming-2022-03-28 https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/dont-fear-the-yield-curve-reprise-20220325.htm https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/restoration-hardware-stock-price-ceo-warns-big-short-economy-inflation-2022-3 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PATH:NYSE https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/03/american-population-growth-rate-slow/629392 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/31/2-year-treasury-yield-tops-10-year-rate-a-yield-curve-inversion-that-could-signal-a-recession.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/joe-bidens-big-new-wealth-tax-white-house-budget-fy-2023-11648504962 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-28/manchin-pans-biden-s-proposed-tax-on-unrealized-gains-of-wealthy https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/democrats-go-directly-to-the-center https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-29/spacs-face-fresh-sec-legal-threat-for-overly-bullish-forecasts https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-05-27/spacs-can-take-away-the-insiders-advantage-in-ipos-and-markets https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-22/the-sec-will-regulate-climate https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/30/sec-targets-spacs-with-new-rules-about-forecasts-mergers.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/03/30/facebook-tiktok-targeted-victory/ https://www.agweek.com/news/ukraine-ag-production-could-drop-80-fertilizer-prices-to-cut-food-supply-long-term-uk-expert-says https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/03/wheat-in-2023.html https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2021/09/information-on-2021-cash-rents-with-implications-for-2022.html https://www.agweek.com/news/usda-nass-to-livestream-prospective-planting-report https://www.npr.org/2022/03/28/1089300515/biden-putin-remarks-regime-change https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/putin-s-approval-ratings-soar-amid-russia-s-war-in-ukraine/ar-AAVI29R

0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner is filling in for Friedberg 1:34 Understanding public SaaS and Internet multiples, Instacart's cuts its valuation by 40%, understanding reality of overvalued late-stage companies 21:52 Capital allocators at fault, how crossover funds are reacting, late-stage price discovery, investor and founder behavioral psychology 40:37 Sacks' burn multiple, managing growth spend, new VC qualifications, lessons from the COVID bubble 53:58 Russia/Ukraine: US potential non-ceasefire strategy, Zelenskyy's revelations in CNN interview, rhetoric getting more aggressive 1:08:58 How will Putin withdraw without redacting the sanctions? What is the offramp? Zelenskyy's posture on global war 1:24:18 Understanding China's recently announced tax cuts, All-In Summit talk Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/altcap Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burnmultiple-51a7e43cb200 https://substack.com/profile/11803623-jamin-ball https://twitter.com/nfergus/status/1506243619384037378 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-22/niall-ferguson-putin-and-biden-misunderstand-history-in-ukraine-war https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB10014.html https://twitter.com/samramani2/status/1507378113893871617 https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-says-first-phase-ukraine-operation-mostly-complete-focus-now-donbass-2022-03-25/ https://www.wptv.com/news/national/russia-ukraine-conflict/zelenskyy-warns-of-world-war-iii-if-russia-ukraine-peace-talks-fail https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/03/20/zelensky_ukraine_failed_putin_talks_would_mean_a_third_world_war.html https://www.politico.com/news/2022/03/20/zelenskyy-ukraine-zakaria-interview-00018716 https://fortune.com/2022/03/25/russia-g20-summit-putin-biden-indonesia-bali-china-ukraine/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-ukraine.html https://fortune.com/2022/03/24/putin-russia-natural-gas-europe-imports-pay-in-rubles-sanctions/ https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-arabia-considers-accepting-yuan-instead-of-dollars-for-chinese-oil-sales-11647351541 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-ukraine.html https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/24/biden-says-us-would-respond-to-russia-if-putin-uses-chemical-or-biological-weapons.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2014/03/09/blinken-u-s-would-not-recognize-crimea-secession/ https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-sticks-with-longstanding-u-s-policy-on-use-of-nuclear-weapons-amid-pressure-from-allies-11648176849 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-21/china-embraces-supply-side-economics-with-tax-cuts

0:00 Jason's new "family office" and Sacks' new strategy 2:39 Understanding where all sides stand in the Russia/Ukraine War three weeks in 15:21 Sanctions risking a major food shortage: possible solutions, how we got here, creating distributed manufacturing and supply chains, capitalist incentives flipping 34:59 Breaking down the second- and third-order effects of the massive sanctions on Russia; best case/worst case outcomes for this new form of economic warfare, deglobalization 49:26 US economy big picture outlook: inflation, rising rates, decreasing uncertainty potentially a bullish sign in public markets; how that flows to private markets 1:02:06 Rewriting foreign policy playbooks Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/16/us/politics/russia-troop-deaths.html https://www.axios.com/zelensky-russian-invasion-ukraine-ea623eb5-4a14-4458-9640-af981081e4a4.html https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/russia-ukraine-invasion-francis-fukuyama-b2035413.html https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1504601558184517637 https://uscnpm.org/2022/03/12/hu-wei-russia-ukraine-war-china-choice/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/03/16/ukraine-zelensky-information-war/ https://twitter.com/RichardHanania/status/1504824837964926981 https://twitter.com/ClintEhrlich/status/1504618754784735232 https://www.ft.com/content/7b341e46-d375-4817-be67-802b7fa77ef1 https://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/first-drought-now-war-global-wheat-supplies-peril-rcna19298 https://www.agweb.com/news/policy/politics/if-you-think-fertilizer-prices-are-bad-now-heres-why-china-could-make https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/Fig4.png https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/skyrocketing-fertilizer-prices-gouge-farmer-profits-groups-blame-consolidation https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cu22 https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1504214235114577926 https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/10/there-are-more-than-11-million-open-jobs-in-america-right-now.html https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/03/16/business/fed-meeting-interest-rates https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1503989745939980292 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957 https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2021-06-16/the-latest-kremlin-official-says-summit-will-not-be-easy https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/biden-says-ukraine-has-work-to-do-on-corruption-to-get-into-nato https://theintercept.com/2022/03/15/ukraine-russia-war-sovereignty-negotiations/ https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/09/01/joint-statement-on-the-u-s-ukraine-strategic-partnership/ https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/ https://www.amazon.com/Changing-World-Order-Nations-Succeed/dp/1982160276/ https://www.salon.com/2021/01/19/who-is-victoria-nuland-a-really-bad-idea-as-a-key-player-in-bidens-foreign-policy-team/

0:00 David Sacks: Man for the people 0:50 Escalating tensions over Russia/Ukraine; nuclear scare; evolving forms of warfare 16:27 Assessing impact of economic sanctions: first, second and third-order effects; exit ramps for Putin and Russia 34:23 Reflecting on if taking NATO expansion off the table would have prevented war; Putin's risk of ruin; lessons learned so far 46:12 New version of economic warfare; possibility of a regime change; comparisons to the Cuban Missile Crisis; realist vs. idealist; lessons for Taiwan 1:05:22 Market impact, increased volatility, thinking in decades, managing risk 1:19:22 Car T-cell therapy breakthroughs and approvals; CRISPR patent controversy; Sacks makes a final point Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/phildstewart/status/1499535843207389186 https://www.onmanorama.com/news/world/2022/03/04/garry-kasparov-former-world-chess-champion-attacks-russian-president-vladimir-putin-ukraine-invasion-twitter.html https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1574056/world-war-3-russia-ukraine-vladimir-putin-fiona-hill-us-national-security-council https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/nato-meets-ukraine-calls-no-fly-zone-hinder-russia-2022-03-04 https://twitter.com/TimothyDSnyder/status/1499587642115117059 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/02/opinion/ukraine-russia-war-zelensky.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/LUKOY:OTCMKTS https://oec.world/en/profile/hs92/wheat https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1498873063378612227 https://twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/status/1499574209567199235 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/04/world/europe/lindsey-graham-putin-russia.html https://twitter.com/biancoresearch/status/1499385705591709698 https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-war-russia-germany-still-blocking-arms-supplies/ https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/germany-hike-defense-spending-scholz-says-further-policy-shift-2022-02-27/ https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/germany-aims-get-100-energy-renewable-sources-by-2035-2022-02-28/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/28/world/europe/switzerland-russian-assets-freeze.html https://www.thedefensepost.com/2022/02/28/sweden-arms-ukraine/ https://www.nato.int/docu/update/2008/04-april/e0403h.html https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/biography-george-h-w-bush-slams-iron-ass-cheney-rumsfeld-n457911 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrMiSQAGOS4 https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=RU https://twitter.com/shellenbergermd/status/1499386637066727424 https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/the-wests-green-delusions-empowered?s=r https://www.npr.org/2022/03/04/1084580235/russia-blocks-facebook-twitter https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/03/technology/ukraine-war-misinfo.html https://twitter.com/Ukraine/status/1497834538843660291 https://www.indiatoday.in/fact-check/story/fact-check-russia-ukraine-war-old-woman-not-giving-invading-russian-soldiers-the-finger-1920479-2022-03-04 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1496998762496946203 https://twitter.com/morganhousel/status/1499484089082007552 https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/euro-pinned-war-stokes-stagflation-fears-2022-03-03/ https://twitter.com/zekejmiller/status/1499739582115553281 https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/national-international/wheat-corn-prices-surge-amid-russias-invasion-of-ukraine/2774260/ https://www.myelomacrowd.org/janssen-s-cilta-cel-car-t-receives-fda-approval-for-relapsed-multiple-myeloma/ https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/fda-approves-jjs-cell-based-multiple-myeloma-therapy-blood-cancer-treatment-wsj-2022-03-01/ https://www.fiercebiotech.com/research/a2-bios-activator-blocker-car-t-cell-therapies-show-early-promise-solid-cancers https://www.wsj.com/articles/crispr-patent-gene-editing-dispute-11646187911 https://twitter.com/MZHemingway/status/1499588624664657926