🇦🇷 Argentina Episodes

Carlos Pagni's analysis on Argentine Odyssey aired on LN+ on November 10, 2025.

Ocho demócratas moderados llegaron a un entendimiento con los republicanos tras 40 días de cierre, el más largo de la historia. "Lo que se hizo fue una votación para destrabar la discusión en el Senado. Todavía falta que se apruebe ahí para que pase a la Cámara y después sea firmado por el presidente. Esto va a tener un efecto importante para aquellos funcionarios del Estado. Fueron 40 días sin tener un presupuesto", dijo en Cara o ceca Eduardo Aleman, profesor de Ciencia Política en la Universidad de Houston. "Este cierre afecta al Gobierno federal. Además, hay impactos directos, muchos trabajadores no reciben su paga, se redujo el personal y muchos han tenido que buscar otro tipo de trabajo. También esto trae impactos indirectos como, por ejemplo, la gente que depende del Gobierno federal o aquellos que usan servicios del mismo. Lo de los vuelos afecta económicamente a un montón de empresas", agregó. "Todo indica que se resolvería una semana antes del Dia de Gracias. Pero desde la Administración Federal de Aviación advirtieron que no se van a poner al día de inmediato. Hoy se cancelaron cerca del 6% de los vuelos y eso afecta a unos 40 aeropuertos", cerró. Los bancos argentinos ajustan las tasas y se reactivan los créditos hipotecarios y prendarios Las primeras señales de la baja de las tasas de interés luego del triunfo electoral del Gobierno de Javier Milei ya se sienten en el costo del crédito, dos bancos ya recortaron las tasas en sus líneas para la adquisición de viviendas y las automotrices vuelven a otorgar préstamos a tasas subsidiadas para la compra de autos 0 kilómetro. "Estamos en un muy buen año. Solo hubo un pequeño parate cuando fueron las elecciones legislativas. Desde enero a septiembre de este año se dieron 32.500 créditos hipotecarios. Hoy, la tasa más baja está en un 4.5%", dijo en Cara o ceca Fernando Álvarez de Celis, Director de la Fundación Tejido Urbano. "Volvió el interés de los bancos de prestar dinero. Antes de las elecciones, si bien no se había paralizado, el Banco Nación, Ciudad y Provincia seguían dando créditos, pero habían puesto trabas administrativas. Ahora se levantaron esas restricciones y vamos a ver un flujo mayor que viene de abril y mayo", cerró.

A Central Bank report revealed that the US Treasury would have sold the pesos it bought in October in the electoral run-up to support the Argentine currency. The operation, initially seen as a gesture of financial support, was reversed after the elections, raising doubts about the true scope of the agreement with Washington. "The operation maintained the exchange rate bands established by the Central Bank –BCRA– through a loan, but then the Treasury took the dollars and the Central Bank is left with a debt of some 2 billion dollars, which would be from the activation of the swap," said Christian Buteler, an Argentine economist, in Cara o Ceca. "The operation guarantees the Treasury the profit from having intervened in the market in the other weeks. If it had gone to the market, the price would have risen and, surely, it would have bought more expensively than it sold, that is, it would have lost money," he concluded. Kazakhstan joined the Abraham Accords The decision was confirmed by the country's president, Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, during a meeting with US President Donald Trump. This agreement aims to normalize Israel's relations with countries in the Arab and Muslim world. "In regional terms, Kazakhstan is not very important on the Middle East board. The most significant thing is that it is a country of the former Soviet Union. It is one more gesture towards Donald Trump," said Martín Schapiro, lawyer and international analyst, in Cara o Ceca.

Las operaciones militares estadounidenses fueron catalogadas como ejecuciones extrajudiciales y violatorias del derecho internacional. Desde septiembre, al menos 66 personas han sido asesinadas y unas 17 embarcaciones, destruidas. "El pueblo venezolano viene sufriendo más de 10 años de guerra económica y cognitiva con EEUU. Sabemos que está el Comando Sur, el portaaviones y la base en Trinidad y Tobago. De todas formas, Donald Trump anticipó que por ahora no tiene planeada ninguna acción directa contra el país", dijo en Cara o Ceca Lautaro Rivara, doctor en Historia y analista internacional, desde Caracas. "Venezuela está dispuesta a discutir ciertos elementos, pero por ahora Estados Unidos no pretende usar la vía diplomática", cerró. El Gobierno argentino anunció asistencia nacional por las inundaciones en la provincia de Buenos Aires El Gobierno de Javier Milei anunció un paquete de medidas para asistir a la provincia de Buenos Aires por las graves inundaciones. La ministra de Seguridad, Patricia Bullrich, puso fondos nacionales a disposición para desplegar un operativo destinado a los pueblos comprometidos y las familias aisladas. "Celebro que se hayan tomado determinaciones como las que anunció Bullrich. El Gobierno provincial viene ayudando, pero ante la falta de recursos de Nación se genera una situación muy preocupante", dijo en Cara o ceca Daniel Stadnik, intendente de Carlos Casares, una de las localidades afectadas en la provincia de Buenos Aires. "La gravedad llegó a tal punto de que es la mayor inundación en la historia de Carlos Casares, se registró más de 1.900 ml de lluvia interanual, más del doble de lo que debería llover acá en un año", agregó.

Iván Cepeda won the internal consultation of the Historical Pact, party of the president of Colombia, Gustavo Petro, and became the official candidate for the 2026 elections. In 'Heads or Tails' we talked with him about the government's balance and what his proposals are for the continuation. "We are less than a year away from finishing the first progressive and real change government in the country. The Historical Pact made the decision to do something unprecedented, to elect all its candidates both in Congress and for the presidency through primary elections; we have concluded a successful day with about 2,700,000 voters," he said. "We are witnessing a difficult and dangerous moment, since the [Donald] Trump government began a more aggressive policy has developed with the region. It began with the expulsion of migrants, many of them placed in concentration centers, continued with the tariff policy and now points out that there is terrorism in Mexico, Colombia and Venezuela due to drug trafficking. That has already caused the US to bomb a vessel in Colombian waters. These are all political decisions," he added.

The new Speaker of Parliament, aid amidst food insecurity, a fuel shortage, attacks on demonstrators, the Scorchers qualifying for the Women’s African Cup of Nations, and much more!  Thanks for tuning in!Let us know what you think and what we can improve on by emailing us at [email protected]. You can also contact us on Instagram @rorshok_malawi or Twitter @RorshokMalawiLike what you hear? Subscribe, share, and tell your buds.The Last Fishing Boat: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VAZrfkzd5TY We want to get to know you! Please fill in this mini-survey: https://forms.gle/NV3h5jN13cRDp2r66Wanna avoid ads and help us financially? Follow the link: https://bit.ly/rorshok-donate

Country risk fell below 700 points and the Merval stock exchange gained over 50%, investors expect some changes in the economic program looking ahead. "The market reaction is logical. Due to the new configuration of parliament and the popular vote, there is new support for the Government, which has no elections for two more years," said Martín Litwak, lawyer and market analyst, in dialogue with Heads or Tails. "Capital goes where it believes there is no risk, and today there is more stability and legal certainty for investments to arrive. But Argentina is a patient in intensive care. It can go well and then suddenly become complicated, it's more than 70 years of political instability. It is the country with the most recession after the Second World War," he added. "The market punishes instability, but today there is a predictable economic course. The Government respected contracts, the aid came from outside without touching people's money, it is a fact, whether you like the government or not," he concluded.

Carlos Pagni's analysis on Argentine Odyssey aired on LN+ on November 3, 2025.

Javier Milei strengthens after electoral victory with the absorption of seven deputies from Republican Proposal (PRO), who joined the ranks of La Libertad Avanza and deepened the crisis of Mauricio Macri's party. "Whether we continue as PRO or not will depend on the debate that takes place when the new deputies take office. Most of those who have decided to leave have always supported the Government. Naturally, they could be part of an inter-bloc or perhaps create a more provincial structure. I am not going to be part of that," said Martin Maqueyra, national deputy of PRO, on Cara o Ceca.

El Gobierno argentino ratificó que no aplicará la ley de financiamiento universitario. El Secretario de Educación y el Subsecretario de Políticas Universitarias anunciaron que las partidas de fondos para educación para el 2026 registrarán un 10% de aumento en términos reales y aseguraron que las universidades podrán "cubrir todas sus necesidades". "No hay manera de no aplicar la ley cuando ya fue aprobada por ambas cámaras y se rechazó el veto. La Universidad de Buenos Aires ha decidido judicializar el incumplimiento por parte del Gobierno para que sea ejecutada inmediatamente", dijo en Cara o Ceca Guillermo Durán, decano de la Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales de la Universidad de Buenos Aires. "Si se pone en práctica la ley, impactaría directamente en el salario de los docentes y no docentes. Aproximadamente, deberíamos recibir el próximo mes un 45% de aumento nominal para equiparar la situación con el 2023. Lo mismo sucedería para los gastos del funcionamiento", agregó. Durán desmintió que las universidades sean opacas en cuanto al manejo de los fondos. "Lo de las auditorías es un absurdo total del Gobierno para desviar el debate. Las universidades se auditan constantemente y si el Gobierno cree que debe auditarlas todos años, debe poner a la gente de la Auditoría General de la Nación para todas", cerró. Se acercan las elecciones de Chile y Jeannette Jara lidera los sondeos. El 16 de noviembre se llevarán a cabo las elecciones presidenciales en Chile y los estudios de Criteria y Black & White coinciden en que Jara, de la coalición Unidad por Chile, compuesta por los partidos de gobierno, más la Democracia Cristiana, encabeza las encuestas como la elegida en la primera vuelta con entre el 27% y 30%. En el segundo lugar permanece José Antonio Kast, del Partido Republicano, con 23% en ambos estudios de opinión. "Más allá que los sondeos dan como ganadora a Jara, lo que hay que destacar es que en ambos informes dan un crecimiento de la derecha. Axel Kaiser y José Antonio Katz, son dos variaciones de los sectores más conservadores en Chile. Kaiser se parece a la ideología de Javier Milei, es anarcocapitalista, mientras que Katz tiene un tinte más tradicional, cumple con todos los estándares de la derecha clásica", dijo en Cara o Ceca Yasna Lewin, periodista y analista política.

The hard electoral blow forces the majority opposition to reconfigure itself. In 'Heads or Tails' the former governor of the Chaco province and senator-elect for the Frente Fuerza Patria, Jorge Capitanich, assured that the party needs "new pretensions for a new representativeness". "We had a very competitive election, we won 17 of 25 departments. We still maintain great territorial power, in a province where there is parity of forces. In senators the difference was minimal: the ruling party got 45.84% and we, 45.35%; that's around 3400 votes," Capitanich specified. "In Argentina, external factors have completely influenced the election. Donald Trump's support helped quite a bit with people's decision, added to the fact that there was the 'fear vote', where people didn't know what could happen with the markets," he continued. "From our space we have to expand our base of support and political legitimation. We also have to discuss a new government plan that expresses the social demands that, effectively, we are not being able to interpret," he concluded. US AND China announced an agreement on rare earths and tariff reduction The meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping left results. Both leaders agreed that, on the one hand, Chinese imports to the US will be subject to a tariff of 47%, 10 percentage points less than the previous level, and on the other, restrictions on minerals by China will be postponed for one year. "China has managed to put the US in a level playing field. Trump imposed so that the rest would accept, but Xi Jinping responded with restrictions on rare earths and, in that way, forced a meeting," said Marcelo Ramírez, geopolitical analyst and director of Asia TV, in Heads or Tails. "The US will have to decide whether to accept the multipolar world without being hegemonic or take the world to a third world war," he highlighted.

The Government's goal is to wait for the new composition of the Chambers to materialize, where its parliamentary position will be consolidated. They seek to address it in extraordinary sessions. The country has not been able to approve a new budget for two years and extends the one from 2023. "I am convinced that there should be no further extension of the national budget. It is something basic and important because it implies better controls of expenses and removes discretion," said Germana Figueroa Casas, deputy of Republican Proposal (PRO) for the province of Santa Fe, in dialogue with Cara o Ceca. "One of the issues to discuss is that the budget does not coincide with the approved laws. The Government stated that, as long as the budget is balanced, they are willing to take the changes, but it must be possible to demonstrate where the money comes from to comply with those laws," she added. "For Tuesday the 4th, there should be a ruling. The commission cannot decide, but the reality is that there are not enough signatures for it to pass," she summarized. Senator Iván Cepeda will be the candidate to succeed Gustavo Petro in Colombia. Cepeda won the internal consultation of the Historical Pact with more than one million votes (64.4%), surpassing the former Minister of Health, Carolina Corcho, who exceeded 400,000 votes (29.5%), at the time when 88% of the polling stations throughout the country were scrutinized. "He is a great fighter for Human Rights and with a hard story because of what his father lived through in the 80s, he was assassinated by military forces. Iván [Cepeda] worked in all the peace processes and achieved the condemnation for the first time of a president such as that of Álvaro Uribe," expressed Alejandro Toro, representative to the Chamber of the Historical Pact in Colombia, in dialogue with Cara o Ceca. "It was a difficult period. Not having a majority in Congress, we could not carry out the reforms that we had promised in the campaign. Many gave the left for dead, but the people realized and it was proven in this consultation that we did. We obtained 2,700,000 votes in Sunday's consultation, it was the most voted in the history of Colombia," he concluded.

The Freedom Advances (LLA) consolidated as the most voted force nationally, once again defeating the polls. Its revalidation and Javier Milei's immediate conciliatory speech open the question about the form that the second half of the term will adopt. "The result gives support to the Government. Now it has a more robust legislative contingent that will not only allow it to sustain its powers, but also undertake alliances to obtain legislative majorities at a lower cost. This changes the dynamic for the remaining two years," said Diego Reynoso, Argentine political analyst, in dialogue with Heads or Tails.

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Carlos Pagni's analysis on Argentine Odyssey aired on LN+ on October 27, 2025.

The Freedom Advances party resoundingly triumphed in Argentina's national legislative elections with over 40% of the vote, exceeding forecasts. Thus, the Government will add 64 seats, reaching a total of 93 in the Chamber of Deputies. In the Senate, the ruling party will have 24 seats after winning 13, although not enough to surpass Peronism. "The polls spoke. We are very happy with the result obtained, it was an extraordinary election. Less than a year ago the party did not exist in the province and today we compete against a ruling party and Kirchnerism," said Jairo Guzmán, national deputy-elect of La Libertad Avanza for the province of Santa Cruz, in dialogue with Heads or Tails.

Vladímir Putin respondió a las sanciones de Donald Trump a las petroleras rusas. Aseguró que estas presiones no fortalecen las relaciones entre Moscú y Washington. Dmitri Peskov anunció que el Kremlin analizará las restricciones y que el país hará lo que le convenga. Las sanciones tienen un efecto limitado, Rusia abrió otros canales comerciales: China, India e Irán. Hay diversificación con los hidrocarburos rusos y no va a tener un impacto decisivo en la economía.

El presidente estará acompañado por todo su Gabinete, que desde el lunes presentará modificaciones, así como también por candidatos de todo el país. La ciudad de Rosario será su último destino preelectoral, ubicada en una provincia clave, donde obtuvo más de un 56% de los votos en el balotaje de 2023. "Vemos la convocatoria que tiene el presidente en cada rincón del país y por eso es que tenemos mucha expectativa para el domingo. Nos estamos jugando el futuro del país; son dos caminos: libertad o el kirchnerismo”, dijo en Cara o Ceca Sebastián Pascual, diputado provincial de La Libertad Avanza en Buenos Aires. "Nuestro objetivo en la provincia de Buenos Aires es descontar la diferencia que tuvimos el 7 de septiembre [en las elecciones legislativas bonaerenses]", agregó. "El presidente ya había dicho que iba a haber modificaciones en el gabinete. La renuncia del canciller [Gerardo Werthein] fue una decisión personal, pero sobre [Mariano] Cúneo Libarona no hay nada confirmado aún. Veremos qué personas considera nuestro presidente para cada lugar", cerró. Continúa la crisis humanitaria en Gaza a pesar del alto al fuego. La Agencia de Naciones Unidas para los Refugiados Palestinos (UNRWA) denunció que Israel continúa bloqueando el ingreso de provisiones a la Franja de Gaza con capacidad para atender a su población durante tres meses y que no ha recibido autorización para comenzar las entregas. De esta manera, hay miles de camiones cargados principalmente con comida para los gazatíes que siguen varados en el cruce fronterizo de Rafah (Egipto). "Lamentablemente, tengo que decir que esto era una traición anunciada. Cuando se firmó este acuerdo había muchas prevenciones porque no es la primera vez que Israel incumple un acuerdo. Además, los 20 puntos firmados no se conocían, fue todo muy rápido, al estilo Trump, con pocas definiciones y palabras claves", dijo en Cara o Ceca Telma Luzzani, periodista y escritora, especialista en política internacional. "No creo que mejore la situación de ayuda humanitaria, pero espero que siga aumentando la presión sobre Israel. Si bien hay gobiernos muy activos y alzan la voz, la mayoría de países no sólo no denuncian, sino que reprimen las manifestaciones locales en favor de Palestina. Una vez más, un pueblo movilizado encontrará la forma de realizar cambios positivos", cerró.

From the Casa Rosada they accepted the decision of the Minister of Foreign Affairs and his departure will be effective after the elections of October 26. Meanwhile, the Executive is still analyzing who will replace him in his position. "It is a departure that has to do with internal affairs within the inner circle of the Executive and that arise when the prestige and social acceptance of the Government model is greatly reduced," said Carlos Raimundi, former Argentine ambassador to the Organization of American States (OAS), in Cara o Ceca. "If the result [of the national legislative elections] on the 26th is negative, the president will modify his cabinet instead of recognizing his mistakes. His ideas and direction will remain," he added. "Whoever comes now is not going to represent something different, he is going to continue with the same foreign policy guidelines as Milei," he concluded. Argentine national universities will go to court so that Milei applies the financing law. The Government finally promulgated the law that urges to reinforce university funds and contemplates a salary recomposition for its teachers, but, nevertheless, suspended its application until the Congress of the Nation determines the origin of the financing. "Suspending the application of the law is turning your back on what the Congress and democracy decided. It is also disinterest in the situation of the workers. It is very serious," said Emiliano Cagnacci, teacher and general secretary of the Teaching Association of the University of Buenos Aires (ADUBA), in Cara o Ceca.

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