🇦🇷 Argentina Episodes

The Israel Defense Forces have begun to respect the ceasefire again after a series of significant attacks in response to what the Israeli government considered violations of the understanding by the Palestinian movement Hamas. The text added that the forces "will respond firmly to any violation thereof." "The agreement was always fragile. More than a peace plan, it is a list of good intentions. As time goes on, we see how problems begin to emerge: the return of bodies and the disarmament of Gaza. Both parties are following their agenda; it is a tug-of-war in the face of international pressure," said Paulo Botta, PhD in International Relations and director of the Latin American Office of the TRENDS Research and Advisory Studies Center, in Heads or Tails. "Domestic agendas of continuity in power overlap with strategic ones. On the one hand, Israel and Hamas agree. But, at the same time, the Israelis argue within their parties and Hamas, against their potential opponents within Palestine," he observed. "We have civilians on both sides suffering from these military operations. I regret believing that we will continue in that spiral of violence," he concluded. They criticize US interference in the closing of the Argentine electoral campaign. The national deputy Margarita Stolbizer, current candidate to renew her seat with Provincias Unidas, rejected in conversation with Heads or Tails the latest statements by Donald Trump and his Secretary of the Treasury, Scott Bessent, where they support Milei and ask people to vote for him. "All the statements by US officials, from Trump down, are clearly an act of political interference. They are conditioning people's votes by saying that if the ruling party does not win, they will withdraw their support. If the money comes for Milei's campaign, he should return it," she said. On the other hand, she pointed out the apathy of the electorate in this contest. "The interest of society in knowing proposals and candidates has decreased."

Carlos Pagni's analysis on Argentine Odyssey aired on LN+ on October 20, 2025.

El Gobierno de Colombia convocó a consultas a su embajador en Estados Unidos, Daniel García-Peña, debido a la creciente tensión diplomática entre Bogotá y Washington, provocada por los insultos y amenazas de Donald Trump hacia el país sudamericano y su presidente, Gustavo Petro, quien había denunciado los asesinatos de civiles en el Mar Caribe durante las operaciones estadounidenses supuestamente dirigidas contra el narcotráfico. "Si Estados Unidos intensifica sus ataques, podría haber un llamado a la unión caribeña, aunque por el momento no ha habido unanimidad en los países por querer involucrarse en el asunto", dijo Luis Ángel Pérez, analista político colombiano, en Cara o Ceca.

Según la ONU, reconstruir Gaza costará 70.000 millones de dólares tras la destrucción del 84% del territorio por bombardeos. El acuerdo de paz trajo alivio, pero la ayuda humanitaria es insuficiente. "La situación es complicada: alegría por la paz, temor e inseguridad. La gente teme que los bombardeos regresen. La destrucción es enorme", dijo el padre Carlos Ferrero desde Gaza. Familias regresan a hogares destruidos sin electricidad ni agua. La parroquia, Cáritas y el patriarcado de Jerusalén entregan ayuda. Ferrero destacó el diálogo y el perdón. "Los gazatíes nos conocieron más. El cristianismo tiene el perdón. Pido fe por la paz. Queremos un mundo reconciliado", cerró. Expectativas por el acuerdo Argentina-EEUU: "Milei está perdiendo el rumbo". El embajador Alec Oxenford confirmó el acuerdo tras la reunión Trump-Milei. "Cautela, sin letra chica. Ya vimos la reacción del mercado", dijo Carlos D’Alessandro. "El Gobierno se convirtió en lo que combatíamos. En San Luis y Buenos Aires hay casos raros. Debe haber consensos, no Decretos de Necesidad y Urgencia", cerró.

A month before the presidential elections in Chile, according to the latest Cadem poll, the left-wing candidate, Jeannette Jara, continues to lead with 28%, followed by José Antonio Kast with 23% and Evelyn Matthei with 14%. However, the pollster points out that, if there were a runoff, Kast would surpass Jara by 11 points (47% vs 36%). "We have a scenario for the first round. Today there are eight candidates from very diverse expressions, but Jara is the one who represents the center-left with a conglomerate of eight parties, something that had not been seen in Chilean politics. She is a woman with a lot of experience, she managed to pass many laws regarding public policies," said Alejandra Sepúlveda, an independent Chilean senator and spokesperson for Jeannette Jara's campaign command, in dialogue with Cara o Ceca. "Kast represents the extreme right, which does not reach any agreement, which has no capacity for dialogue and which does not even say how they intend to govern. He says that he is going to cut 6 billion dollars from the nation's budget but he does not explain how he is going to do it," she added. "Janeth Jara has proposals to promote what Chile needs. First, to improve security in the country with more technology and budget. Second, she gives great importance to the issue of health and being able to reinforce primary care, among other things," she concluded. Trump reaffirmed his support for Argentina but it will depend on the election result Javier Milei met with Donald Trump at the White House with the aim of strengthening his strategic alliance with the North American government. Although the Executive received praise from the Republican leader, there was also a conditionality regarding the national legislative elections on October 26. "If he doesn't win, he won't have us. If he loses, we won't be generous with Argentina," Trump warned. "Trump's support for Milei has no similar precedent. Today what the Republican leader says is very important because Argentina is in a balance of payments crisis," said Cecilia Todesca, economist and deputy chief of ministers of the Nation during the government of Alberto Fernández, in Cara o Ceca. "The world is changing. We are in a great geopolitical dispute between the US and China over new technologies. In this context, Argentina, which is not a systemic country, today has great relevance. On the one hand, due to its positioning in America, South America, Mercosur and, on the other hand, due to access to Antarctica, its natural, energy, mineral resources, rare earths and industrial capabilities," she added.

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The U.S. Treasury's intervention in the Argentine exchange market, confirmed by Scott Bessent himself, eased financial tension two weeks before the legislative elections and positively impacted the prices of the dollar, Argentine stocks, and bonds abroad. Country risk stood at 932 points. "It is an unprecedented scenario for Argentina. It has a lot to do with the ideological, political, and strategic alignment that Javier Milei has with Donald Trump. It is a huge opportunity to build a golden bridge until our exports explode in quantity and we are comfortable with sufficient reserves to face the debt and control interventions," said Antonio Aracre, economist and former chief of advisors to President Alberto Fernández, in dialogue with Cara o Ceca. "The U.S. is trying to do everything so that the Government reaches the elections in a reasonable way. It does not guarantee a result, but it avoids a more uncomfortable situation," he continued. "Argentina's relationship with China was always close during the Kirchner years. But there has been a penetration of businesses and technological advances that I do not think will be interrupted. Probably, what may happen is that investment options slow down," he concluded. Controversy over the profile of the new president of Peru after the removal of Dina Boluarte. José Jerí begins his presidential term with low approval from society, affected, among other things, by a corruption complaint linked to his role as president of the Budget Committee of Congress. "Jerí had already been questioned for having archived cases. We are in a context of high discredit of the entire political class and society called for mobilization on October 15," commented Ruth Luque, congresswoman from Peru of the Popular Democratic Bloc, in Cara o Ceca. "There is a structural crisis and it will not be resolved with a change of figure. In the background, society is asking for the rules of the game to change, for a new social pact to be generated, and for some laws to be repealed," she concluded.

Carlos Pagni's analysis on Argentine Odyssey aired on LN+ on October 13, 2025.

With Donald Trump leading, leaders from 20 countries met in Egypt to formalize the "peace plan" for Gaza, following the release of Israeli hostages and Palestinian prisoners. "The agreement is a significant breakthrough between Hamas and Israel. Taking the initiative in the Middle East is a decision by Trump in his battle against globalism, also being a strategic region facing his crisis of hegemony against the BRICS," said Sebastián Schulz, international analyst, in Cara o Ceca. "This agreement does not resolve the Palestinian issue in the long term, because it implies its demilitarization. This blames them for the responsibilities of the conflict. There is also no immediate talk of recognition of the State," he added. "It cannot be denied that there was a genocide in the Gaza Strip. They blocked food supplies and forced the uprooting of thousands of Palestinians," he concluded. Javier Milei defined that he will close the legislative election campaign in the province of Córdoba. After his visit to the United States to meet with Donald Trump, the Argentine president will return to the country to seal his pre-election tour in the province of Córdoba, the second most important in the country, on Wednesday, October 22. "This midterm election is a plebiscite on libertarian economic management. It is mischaracterized as 'the prelude to a presidential election', when in reality, in the last legislative elections, no government that won repeated later in the presidential elections," said Gustavo Córdoba, political analyst and director of the Zuban-Córdoba consultancy, in Cara o Ceca. "The Government is not in a very solid position. In the province of Buenos Aires we see that it is the same as in the provincial elections of September 7. In Córdoba and Santa Fe we see that they could not win either; in no case do they reach 30% of the votes. Only in the City of Buenos Aires and in Mendoza is it well positioned with respect to the polls," he continued.

The Donald Trump administration finalized unprecedented support for Javier Milei's government with a $20 billion currency swap with the Argentine Central Bank. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that he seeks to steer the country away from the "Peronist path" and pave the way for American firms to exploit rare earth elements. "The level of support announced by Bessent is an element of analysis to consider the US's actions in Argentina in the medium term. This signifies a reconfiguration of the country's political forecasts," stated Martín Schapiro, lawyer and international analyst, from Sputnik's studios in Heads or Tails.

Deputies in Argentina approved with changes the law limiting presidential decrees. However, the article establishing a 90-day deadline for Congress to rule on the validity of decrees was rejected, and now the entire law must return to the Senate. La Libertad Avanza celebrated the parliamentary process being prolonged, leaving a possible presidential veto for after the October 26 elections. "This project came with half approval from the Senate. The lack of dialogue and connection between the governors and the Government results in these initiatives. It was necessary to give a logic of legality and constitutionality to the issuance of the DNU [decrees of necessity and urgency]," said Danya Tavela, national deputy of the democracy forever bloc and candidate to renew her seat for Provincias Unidas, in Cara o Ceca.

El Kremlin considera esto una provocación directa. Moscú advierte consecuencias, mayor tensión con Washington. "Trump errático, paz al extremo, acepta misiles Tomahawk a Ucrania", explicó Marcelo Ramírez, director Asia TV.

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The United States Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent received his Argentinian counterpart Luis Caputo and confirmed that he will advance with the economic team in “the various options that the Treasury has prepared to support Argentina's solid policies.” "The big question is whether Caputo returns with money or not. Although there was a pronouncement from the Treasury Secretary and the director of the International Monetary Fund, not a dollar has yet entered of everything they said," said Ismael Bermudez, Argentinian economist in Heads or Tails. "Meanwhile, the Argentinian Treasury continues selling dollars to prevent the dollar's price from hitting the band's ceiling," he added. "From Bessent's statements, we believe that there will be a flexibilization in the exchange market, which would mean a devaluation. We still don't know how much, but if it happens, it will imply an increase in costs and a benefit for exporters," he concluded. After the resignation of Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu, France faces a new political storm The now former Prime Minister of France resigned just one day after the presentation of his new cabinet. In his resignation speech, the former official criticized the lack of willingness of political parties to reach compromises. "France is in a serious political crisis. Since Emmanuel Macron took office, five prime ministers chosen by him have passed. It is not normal in our Constitution. Not even that can guarantee the stability of a Government," said in Heads or Tails Pascal Drouhaud, French political analyst. "The president has three options: appoint another prime minister, dissolve the National Assembly again, several parties are calling for a dissolution or call for Macron's resignation. It is a difficult political debate in the midst of a complicated social and economic situation that, by the way, there are still no traces of the 2026 budget," he concluded.

Carlos Pagni's analysis on Argentine Odyssey aired on LN+ on October 6, 2025.

The decision comes amid the scandal over the libertarian deputy's ties to businessman Fred Machado, which forced him to also resign his candidacy as the leading national deputy for La Libertad Avanza in the strategic province of Buenos Aires, a key electoral section ahead of the legislative elections on October 26. "José Luis Espert got caught up in his own lies. We had asked him to step aside from the presidency of the commission because he had already received enormous accusations," said Oscar Zago, deputy of the Movement for Integration and Development, former member of La Libertad Avanza, on Cara o Ceca. "Every week there is a serious act of corruption. There was the case of the former head of the National Disability Agency, the alleged cryptocurrency Libra scam, and that's how we cover up the cases. All of La Libertad Avanza should be giving a response, they hurt the presidential investiture," he added. On the other hand, we spoke with the deputy of Republican Proposal (PRO) Sergio Capozzi, who assured that Espert's decision to withdraw from the candidacy "was delayed longer than it should have been" and that "it harmed the entire electorate." "I believe that Diego Santilli [who will replace Espert on the list for the province of Buenos Aires] is an excellent candidate, it is not a loss but the representation of someone who comes from politics," he concluded. Israel and Hamas will begin negotiating a ceasefire agreement. Egypt will host the first negotiations between both parties proposed by Donald Trump. In this way, a possible agreement is expected for an exchange that would allow the release of hostages and thousands of Palestinians held in Israeli prisons. "Hamas approved part of the plan proposed by the US, not in its entirety, because it believes that a couple of points need clarification. What they did emphasize is that they will not hand over weapons until the sovereignty of a Palestinian state is guaranteed. For his part, Netanyahu made it clear that the fleets and troops are not going to leave Gaza because he wants to take it in its entirety," said Esteban Carrillo, news editor of The Cradle, on Cara o Ceca. Middle East specialist.

New setback for the Argentinian Government. The Senate rejected Javier Milei's vetoes to the financing of the Garrahan pediatric hospital and the universities. Thus, the laws come back into effect and Javier Milei is obligated to enact and implement the norms approved by Congress. "We are very pleased with the result, there were almost 60 votes against the veto. I don't know who could vote against children and young people. Evidently, the Government wants to leave them without protection and without the opportunity to study," said Florencia López, senator of Unión por la Patria, in dialogue with Cara o Ceca.

Este 9 de octubre se conmemora el 57.º aniversario del asesinato del comandante Ernesto Guevara de la Serna, mundialmente conocido como 'Che'. Juan Martín Guevara, su hermano, visitó los estudios de Sputnik para recordarlo y reflexionar sobre su legado. "Cuando murió yo estaba en Buenos Aires y trabajaba en una empresa de productos lácteos. Salíamos temprano y vi en una parada un periódico que contaba la noticia de su muerte. Mi viejo decía que era trucado, pero a la noche nos llamaron desde Cuba y nos confirmaron que era él", afirmó Guevara.

Mexico's first female president, leading Morena's second six-year term, surpassed her predecessor Andrés Manuel López Obrador's approval with a 75% positive image, according to a Polls MX survey. "This is a new style of governing. This year sees a great reduction in poverty, continuing the trend of López Obrador's administration. In this period, we made the first reforms: security laws were changed, constitutional changes," assured Verónica Camino, vice president of the Board of Directors of the Senate of the Republic, senator for the state of Yucatán of the National Regeneration Movement (Morena), in Cara o Ceca. "With Sheinbaum, all women arrived. She put her stamp on it and allocated a specific program of economic support for women between 60 and 64 years old and took on the task of distributing a booklet on women's rights so that they know them and can exercise them," she added. On the other hand, Camino defended the judicial reform in Mexico, through which magistrates are popularly elected. They decide on our future and must be people free from interests so that they respond to the people. Milei authorizes the entry of foreign troops without Congress permission by decree The Argentine president authorized the entry of foreign troops to carry out military exercises by decree, despite the Constitution establishing that this decision must go through Congress. The president argued that it was an "emergency" because these practices already have defined dates. "Skipping Congress is a common practice of this Government, but this measure has the particularity of being carried out in a special context, just after the financial bailout from the US for political reasons. This is a natural reflection of a Government whose officials think more about foreign interests than their own," said Luciano Anzelini, former National Director of Planning and Strategy of the Ministry of Defense, in dialogue with Cara o Ceca. "The objective of the US is clear; all the great powers project power. I see the problem on the Argentine side: this is a policy of denationalization that benefits Washington in the midst of the discussion of the installation of a naval base in Tierra del Fuego," he concluded.

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